Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003886 0.004249 0.004639 0.005088 0.005594 0.006148 0.006802
2025-11-02 0.003231 0.003729 0.004301 0.005012 0.005880 0.006911 0.008246
2025-11-09 0.002885 0.003451 0.004132 0.005023 0.006171 0.007623 0.009634
2025-11-16 0.002609 0.003208 0.003954 0.004969 0.006338 0.008158 0.010827
2025-11-23 0.002375 0.002985 0.003769 0.004869 0.006411 0.008550 0.011848
2025-11-30 0.002239 0.002873 0.003709 0.004922 0.006683 0.009230 0.013361
2025-12-07 0.002158 0.002823 0.003724 0.005069 0.007095 0.010152 0.015366
2025-12-14 0.002020 0.002683 0.003601 0.005004 0.007179 0.010574 0.016618
2025-12-21 0.001887 0.002541 0.003461 0.004899 0.007184 0.010864 0.017677
2025-12-28 0.001785 0.002434 0.003364 0.004846 0.007264 0.011277 0.019006
2026-01-04 0.001715 0.002369 0.003323 0.004876 0.007475 0.011931 0.020881
2026-01-11 0.001631 0.002277 0.003233 0.004819 0.007534 0.012319 0.022296
2026-01-18 0.001552 0.002193 0.003156 0.004784 0.007641 0.012836 0.024129
2026-01-25 0.001471 0.002100 0.003060 0.004714 0.007683 0.013242 0.025823
2026-02-01 0.001414 0.002042 0.003015 0.004724 0.007867 0.013943 0.028318
2026-02-08 0.001350 0.001969 0.002940 0.004674 0.007935 0.014417 0.030381
2026-02-15 0.001283 0.001887 0.002845 0.004581 0.007909 0.014694 0.032017
2026-02-22 0.001248 0.001854 0.002830 0.004630 0.008163 0.015598 0.035481
2026-03-01 0.001231 0.001849 0.002862 0.004767 0.008607 0.016985 0.040637
2026-03-08 0.001181 0.001788 0.002791 0.004706 0.008638 0.017433 0.043225
2026-03-15 0.001128 0.001719 0.002705 0.004609 0.008581 0.017664 0.045221
2026-03-22 0.001086 0.001667 0.002646 0.004560 0.008624 0.018145 0.048148
2026-03-29 0.001059 0.001639 0.002627 0.004587 0.008837 0.019080 0.052865